Is Trump’s Tariff War About to Crash Canada Into a Depression With Sky-High Inflation? – Citizen Watch Report

Is Trump’s Tariff War About to Crash Canada Into a Depression With Sky-High Inflation? – Citizen Watch Report

Is Trump’s Tariff War About to Crash Canada Into a Depression With Sky-High Inflation? – Citizen Watch Report

Hey, are you catching this? Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem just sounded a death knell on a tariff war with the U.S., and it’s brutal! “There will be no bounce-back,” he said on February 21, 2025, in a speech that’s got folks sweating. Trump’s threatening 25% tariffs on cars starting April 2, plus 25% on steel and aluminum hitting March—devastating Canada, where 75% of exports head south. Macklem admits the central bank’s got no tools for this catastrophe: “We can’t push back on higher inflation and lower demand at the same time.” Are you seeing this? He’d pick fighting inflation over boosting GDP—no printing money here. This isn’t just stagflation; it’s “depressflation”—severe economic contraction with sky-high inflation. Game over for Canada’s economy.

Look sharp—Macklem’s modeling paints a nightmare! A 25% tariff on Canadian goods, plus 10% on energy, with Canada retaliating, could slash exports 8.5%, cut consumer spending over 2% by 2027, and tank business investment nearly 12% by early 2026. Inflation could spike to 7% by mid-2025, unemployment near 8% by year-end—Oxford Economics’ call. Auto, energy, and heavy manufacturing—Canada’s lifelines—would take the worst hit, with supply chains snarling. Posts on X are buzzing—“Canada’s toast!” (sentiment, inconclusive)—and they’re not wrong. Trump’s tariffs would hammer growth, but Macklem says monetary policy can’t fix it—it’s structural, not a shock. Are we sleepwalking into a recession while the loonie tanks?

Pay attention—Macklem’s speech in Mississauga warned a “long-lasting and broad-based trade conflict would badly hurt economic activity in Canada,” with no recovery in sight. He’d rather choke inflation—keeping rates steady or hiking—than risk a price spiral, even if GDP tanks. That’s “depressflation”—not stagnation, but a depression with high inflation, a term that doesn’t even exist yet! Trump’s April 2 car tariffs, March steel/aluminum hits, could idle auto plants, spike gas prices 30-70 cents a gallon in the U.S., per GasBuddy. Are you blind to this? Canada’s economy could shrink 5% long-term, jobs vanish 150,000 to 350,000, and the loonie could drop to 61 cents—Scotiabank’s guess. This isn’t a game; it’s a wipeout.

Check this out—tariffs would jack up consumer prices fast, loonie falling, supply chains choking, but Macklem’s hands are tied. A 25% U.S. tariff, Canada’s retaliation, could cut growth 2.5% in year one, another 1.5% in year two—Bank of Canada’s model. Inflation rises, but weaker demand pulls it back—stagflation’s cousin, “depressflation,” hits harder. Trump’s delayed tariff threats, March 4 for goods but locked for steel/aluminum March 12, are already spooking markets. Are Wall Street suits deaf? This could drag Canada into recession, U.S. into a “shallow” one, and fracture ties—Brookings’ take. X is trending—“tariff war’s killing us!” (sentiment, inconclusive)—but Macklem’s grim: no tools, no bounce-back.

Stay alert—don’t be the dope stuck in Canada’s mess! That 25% tariff threat, “depressflation” risk, loonie crash—it’s a warning shot! Sell loonie, grab gold, real estate—anything solid—before this implodes. How long ‘til Canada’s economy craters? The wise are bolting—Macklem’s helpless, Trump’s swinging, but you’ve been warned. This could be the depression nobody saw coming, and markets are already shaking.

Sources:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/live-trump-reciprocal-tariffs-auto-tariffs-planned-for-april-aluminum-steel-duties-set-for-march-191201131.html

https://www.carscoops.com/2025/02/trump-plans-25-tariffs-on-cars-and-chips-for-april-2/
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/premium/3324628/canada-was-not-ready-for-trump/

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2025/02/trade-conflict-what-can-bank-canada-do/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=speech_macklem&utm_content=20250221
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2025/02/tariffs-structural-change-and-monetary-policy/
https://www.thefp.com/p/canada-small-business-owners-react-trump-tariffs
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/02/18/trump-25-percent-tariffs-autos-00204758



Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *