Considering that the assumed skew in the RCP average historically is about +2.5 towards the Dem candidate, it’s all over for Kamala’s chances now.
In 2020 Biden was leading the RCP avg of all these battleground states except NC, and most of them by a wide margin.
It’s gonna be about 312 Trump to 226 Kamala.
It’s now a clean sweep for Trump in RCP Battleground State polling averages! #MAGA pic.twitter.com/TwTGlLKxO4
— Steve Aargh! (@steve_nar) October 18, 2024
Polymarket has Trump +20. Ouch.
polymarket.com/elections
AC
