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Banks are not raising savings rates to match the Fed, leaving ordinary savers with no safe way to earn returns. This forces investors into stocks to chase yield, inflating demand and prices. The market is behaving unnaturally and unsustainably, which means that when it breaks, the fallout could be severe and widespread.
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The bull market that began in March 2009 is approaching its peak, with an expected gain of 1000% over 17 years.
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Recent parabolic moves since April 2025 signal extreme euphoria, echoing historical bubbles like the Dot-com era.
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Investor psychology is overextended, with attitudes like “we can’t lose,” “this time is different,” and the belief that AI will change everything.
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Valuation metrics are extreme: the S&P 500 PE is double the 100-year average, and the Buffett Indicator (Market Cap to GDP) is at +215%, far above Dot-com (+138%) and GFC (+105%) peaks.
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Buffett’s $350 billion cash position highlights the caution of even the most successful investors.
since 2008 they started forcing every dollar possible into stocks … the official government operated “wealth effect” bubble … in REAL WORLD MARKETS … bubbles do NOT get this far out … so the big question is can they just keep blowing air into it …
— BobRice (@mr_BobRice) September 20, 2025
I wish I could sit here and tell you that we are at the start of a Bull Market but the truth is, we are not…..in fact, we are at the end of a Bull Market.
The Bull Market started in March 2009 and will have gained EXACTLY 1000% when the market tops after 17 years at the end of… pic.twitter.com/SaHJlYagZ5
— The Long Investor (@TheLongInvest) September 20, 2025
Signs of a top! https://t.co/1vLhJB4odv
— QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) September 21, 2025
Examining the lead-up to past crashes.🚨
2000
2008
*2025 pending.All featured similar time frames, rising 30 to 50% over 18 to 24 months, and all witnessed a major dip prior to the final upthrust.
Study carefully; carefully study.
Hope this helps. pic.twitter.com/kJIh9YJ0Ce
— The Great Martis (@great_martis) September 21, 2025
BREAKING: US margin debt jumped +$37 billion in August, to a record $1.06 trillion.
Over the last 3 months, margin debt has surged +$139 BILLION.
On a YoY basis, the margin debt levels have risen a whopping +$798 billion, or +33%.
When adjusted for inflation, margin debt… pic.twitter.com/fynrPVJ5Tk
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 20, 2025
March 2009: $SPX 666
September 2025: $SPX 6666 pic.twitter.com/aLT9C7zO8R— Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) September 19, 2025
Warren Buffett Indicator hits 220% for the first time in history 🚨🚨 The Stock Market topped at 190% during the Dot Com Bubble 🤯👀 pic.twitter.com/sGE9fAcHtR
— Barchart (@Barchart) September 20, 2025
Is this a TOP signal? https://t.co/9dnJId1cHQ
— Kris Patel 🇺🇸 (@KrisPatel99) September 21, 2025
What Goldman is saying is
“We need to get out of the US market, so
Retail, We need you to spend all your hard earned money
And buy our securities, so we can get out, before it crashed”— Luis Beldroega (@luisbeldroega) September 21, 2025
1. Stocks: all-time high
2. Home Prices: all-time high
3. Bitcoin: all-time high
4. Gold: all-time high
5. Money Supply: all-time high
6. National Debt: all-time high
7. CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed’s “target”
8. Fed: cut interest rates this week pic.twitter.com/keLAaGOtxC— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) September 21, 2025
